{"id":293431,"date":"2020-11-02T00:42:09","date_gmt":"2020-11-01T13:42:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gomarketingteam.com\/articles\/week-ahead-us-election-week\/"},"modified":"2021-02-19T12:13:14","modified_gmt":"2021-02-19T01:13:14","slug":"week-ahead-us-election-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/weekly-summaries\/week-ahead-us-election-week\/","title":{"rendered":"Week Ahead: US Election Week"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Deepta Bolaky<\/strong><br \/>\n<img style=\"float: left; width: 20px; padding-top: 4px;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/twitter.png\" \/>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DeeptaGOMarkets\">@DeeptaGOMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Without any doubt, the event of the week will be the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/articles\/us-election-2020-eyes-on-the-us-senate\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">US election<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> which will take place on Tuesday, the 3rd of November 2020. Amid a busy economic calendar, we will also see more central banks holding their policy meetings.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Equity Markets<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">October was another wild month for the stock market driven by geopolitics and the rapid resurgence of the coronavirus across the US, European countries, India and Russia forcing some leaders to reimpose national lockdowns. The recent themes will remain the dominant driving factors of the stock market this week:<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>US Election Night<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In a pandemic-induced environment, the stakes are probably much higher for this election because markets are not only concerned about the next President but are more interested in knowing which party will hold a majority in the Senate and the House of Representatives.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The political gridlock in Congress has hindered the relief fiscal support the US economy needed during this pandemic. Just one day ahead of the election day, investors are mostly concerned with:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The composition of the House and Senate<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A potential for contested results<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A delay in calling the election due to a substantial increase in mail-in\/absentee balloting<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>They will eye the election night for a clear result on Tuesday.<\/b><\/p>\n<h5><b>Brexit<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Brexit headlines have been on the positive side in the last few days with both the UK and the EU officials appearing close to finding a solution to their biggest obstacles. Investors will likely monitor the updates coming from both sides to see if the November deadline set by both sides will be met.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>Central Banks\u00a0<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Major central banks like the BoE, the Fed and the RBA will hold their policy meetings this week. As widely expected, the BoE will likely keep interest rate unchanged but will ramp up its quantitative easing program.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On the other side, it is unlikely that the Fed will alter any of its policies during the election week. However, it will be interesting to see the tone of the central bank about the rising number of COVID-19 cases.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The RBA will probably be the most interesting central banks meeting this week. Following a series of dovish comments from policymakers and in recent speeches, there have been growing calls for a rate cut from 0.25% to 0.1% lately. This historic cut could be on the table at this meeting alongside some QE program.<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>US Earnings<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/articles\/october-us-stimulus-noises-and-national-lockdowns\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">one of the busiest weeks<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> on the earnings front last week, the US earnings season winds down this week.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Key Economic Data to Watch<\/b><\/h4>\n<h5><b>US NFP<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It will be a busy week for the US markets and the US dollar this week with the elections and the Fed\u2019s meeting. The employment report due at the end of the week will be another key event to monitor. Unemployment has soared to the worst levels around the globe and with the ongoing virus crisis, investors will be keen to monitor how the labour market is improving.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>PMI Figures<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A series of manufacturing and services PMI figures across Australia, UK, China, Germany, Eurozone, and the US will be released this week allowing investors to keep track of the recovery or expansion seen in major economies recently.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Commodities<\/b><\/h4>\n<h5>Oil<\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Further national lockdowns have worsened the oil demand outlook. Crude oil prices will likely remain pressurised by the uncertainty on the demand side. In the meantime, traders will likely monitor the weekly oil reports for fresh trading impetus.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>Gold<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A stimulus gridlock in the US and a stronger greenback have underpinned the demand for gold. The XAUUSD pair struggled to trade around the key psychological level of $1,900. As of writing, the precious metal was trading around $1,876. The election night will probably bring some clarity for gold traders.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Key Events Ahead<\/strong><\/h4>\n<div class=\"gmail_default\">\n<p><b>Monday<\/b><\/p>\n<div class=\"gmail_default\">\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AiG Performance of Mfg Index, Commonwealth Bank Manufacturing PMI, TD Securities Inflation and Building Permits (Australia)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Building Permits (New Zealand)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Caixin Manufacturing PMI (China)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Markit Manufacturing PMI (Germany)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Markit Manufacturing PMI (UK)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Markit Manufacturing PMI (Canada)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Markit Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing Employment Index, PMI, Prices Paid, and New Orders (US)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><b>Tuesday<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Eurogroup Meeting (Eurozone)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">RBA Interest Rates Decision and Rate Statement (Australia)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Consumer Price Index (Switzerland)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Presidential Election and Factory Orders (us)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">GDT Price Index (New Zealand)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Wednesday<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AiG Performance of Construction Index, Commonwealth Bank Services PMI, and Retail Sales (Australia)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Participation Rate, Labour Cost Index, Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (New Zealand)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (Japan)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EcoFin Meeting (Eurozone)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Caixin Services (China)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Markit PMI Composite (Germany)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Markit PMI Composite and European Commission releases Economic Growth Forecasts (Eurozone)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ADP Employment, Trade Balance, Markit Services PMI, Markit PMI Composite, ISM Services New Orders Index, Services PMI, Services Employment Index and Prices Paid (US)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Thursday<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Imports, Exports, Trade Balance (Australia)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Factory Orders (Germany)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Retail Sales (Eurozone)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bank of England Monetary Policy Report, BoE MPC Vote, Monetary Policy Summary, BoE Asset Purchase Facility, Bank of England Minutes, BoE Interest Rate Decision, and Governor Bailey Speech (UK)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Jobless Claims, Nonfarm Productivity, Unit Labor Costs, Fed Interest Rate Decision, Fed&#8217;s Monetary Policy Statement and FOMC Press Conference (US)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Friday<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Overall Household Spending (Japan)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">RBA Monetary Policy Statement (Australia)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">RBNZ Inflation Expectations (New Zealand)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Industrial Production (Germany)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings, Labour Force Participation Rate, and Unemployment Rate (US)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Unemployment Rate, Participation Rate, Average Hourly Wages, Net Change in Employment, and Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (Canada)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>By Deepta Bolaky<\/strong><br \/>\n<img style=\"float: left; width: 20px; padding-top: 4px;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/twitter.png\" \/>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DeeptaGOMarkets\">@DeeptaGOMarkets<\/a><a id=\"dividends\"><\/a><\/p>\n<table style=\"height: 171px;\" border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"height: 75px;\">\n<td style=\"text-align: center; width: 728px; height: 75px;\" colspan=\"7\"><strong>Tuesday, 03 November 2020<\/strong><strong style=\"font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit;\">\u00a0<\/strong><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong>Indicative Index Dividends<br \/>\n<em><sup>Dividends are in Points<\/sup><\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>ASX200<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>WS30<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>US500<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 100px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>US2000<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 108px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>NDX100<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>CAC40<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>STOXX50<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"69\">0.164<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 100px; height: 24px;\" width=\"69\">0.014<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 108px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"69\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"69\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>ESP35<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>ITA40<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>FTSE100<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 100px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>DAX30<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 108px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>HK50<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>JP225<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>INDIA50<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 22px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 22px;\" width=\"69\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 22px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 22px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 100px; height: 22px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 108px; height: 22px;\" width=\"69\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 22px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 22px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><a href=\"\/forex-education-courses\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><br \/>\n<img src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Next-Steps-Blog-Bottom-Banner.jpg\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Disclaimer:\u00a0\u00a0The articles are from GO Markets analysts, \u00a0based on their independent analysis or personal experiences. Views or opinions or trading styles expressed are of their own; \u00a0should not be taken as either representative of or shared by GO Markets. \u00a0Advice (if any), \u00a0are of a \u2018general\u2019 nature and not based on your personal objectives, financial situation or needs.\u00a0 You should therefore consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to your objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. \u00a0If the advice relates to acquiring a particular financial product, you should obtain and consider the Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Financial Services Guide (FSG) for that product before making any decisions.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Deepta Bolaky \u00a0@DeeptaGOMarkets Without any doubt, the event of the week will be the US election which will take place on Tuesday, the 3rd of November 2020. Amid a busy economic calendar, we will also see more central banks holding their policy meetings. Equity Markets October was another wild month for the stock market [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[128],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v16.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Week Ahead: US Election Week - GO Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/weekly-summaries\/week-ahead-us-election-week\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Week Ahead: US Election Week - GO Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Deepta Bolaky \u00a0@DeeptaGOMarkets Without any doubt, the event of the week will be the US election which will take place on Tuesday, the 3rd of November 2020. 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