{"id":293357,"date":"2020-08-28T04:35:57","date_gmt":"2020-08-27T18:35:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gomarketingteam.com\/articles\/monetary-policy-will-remain-accommodative-for-longer\/"},"modified":"2021-02-19T12:13:31","modified_gmt":"2021-02-19T01:13:31","slug":"monetary-policy-will-remain-accommodative-for-longer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/weekly-summaries\/monetary-policy-will-remain-accommodative-for-longer\/","title":{"rendered":"Monetary Policy Will Remain Accommodative for Longer"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>vBy Deepta Bolaky<\/strong><br \/>\n<img style=\"float: left; width: 20px; padding-top: 4px;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/twitter.png\" \/>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DeeptaGOMarkets\">@DeeptaGOMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Attention was predominantly on the exclusive central bank conference this week as it fosters open discussions about global policy matters. In a pandemic-induced environment supported by ongoing fiscal and monetary policies, this year\u2019s theme <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/articles\/economic-updates\/jackson-hole-symposium-markets-bracing-for-more-volatility\/\"><b>\u201cNavigating the Decade Ahead: Implications for Monetary Policy\u201d<\/b><\/a> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">for the symposium was very relevant for investors.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Stock Market &#8211; New Highs<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Global stocks traded mixed at the start of the week as investors await updates from central bankers, policymakers and economists to determine whether the current stimulus will likely stay on hold for some time.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We saw new highs in the stock market led by vaccine-related news and the outperformance of the technology stocks. On Thursday, in a much-anticipated speech, Jerome Powell stated that the Federal Reserve will remain accommodative and <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cappropriate monetary policy will likely aim to achieve inflation moderately above 2 percent for some time\u201d.\u00a0 <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Federal Reserve also sent a clear message on the labour market &#8211; <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cA clear takeaway from these events was the importance of achieving and sustaining a strong job market, particularly for people from low- and moderate-income communities.\u201d<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All in all, the moderate inflation strategy has confirmed the expectations of low-interest rates and quantitative easing for even longer. Wall Street extended gains compared to its peers.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-254591\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/stock-market_28-aug-20.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"375\" \/><br \/>\nSource: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Throughout the week, S&amp;P500 and Nasdaq Composite recorded consecutive new highs. Jerome Powell\u2019s speech helped the S&amp;P 500 to notch even higher while pushing the Dow Jones closer towards positive territory for 2020. The latter is yet to reclaim February highs. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-253693\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/stock-2_28-aug-20.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"635\" height=\"362\" \/><br \/>\nSource: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Another notable event was the reshuffling of the Dow &#8211; <\/span><b>Amgen<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> ($AMGN), <\/span><b>Salesforce.com<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> ($CRM) and <\/span><b>Honeywell International<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> ($HON) will be added to the index while <\/span><b>Pfizer ($PFE)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, <\/span><b>Raytheon Technologies ($RTX)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><b>Exxon Mobil ($XOM)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> will be removed. The moves were spurred by Apple\u2019s decision to split its stock which will reduce the Information Technology index weight.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Salesforce\u2019s share price rose by more than 30% following the announcement and is currently trading at $276.34. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-254561\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/stock-3_28-aug-20.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"395\" \/><br \/>\nSource: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p><b>Forex Market<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the forex market, major currencies were stronger against the greenback. Major pairs continued to trade within familiar ranges ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium. Jerome Powell\u2019s speech triggered wild swings in the forex market.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-247976\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/forex_28-aug-20.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"250\" \/><br \/>\nSource: Bloomberg Terminal<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The US dollar index which tracks the performance of the greenback against a basket of currencies fell to a low of 92.40 before climbing higher. The Antipodeans and commodity-linked currencies remained among the best performers.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-257249\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/forex-2_28-aug-20.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"430\" \/><br \/>\nSource: Bloomberg Terminal<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Furthermore, on the economic front, the Global Economic Surprise Index by Citigroup shows that global economic data is beating analyst expectations like never before. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-257234\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/forex-3_28-aug-20.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"430\" \/><br \/>\nSource: Bloomberg Terminal<\/p>\n<p><b>United States:\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) was +1.18 in July, down from +5.33 in June. This reading came in worse than the market expectation of 2.73.<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li><i>Kansas Fed Manufacturing Activity came in at 23, above expectations (4) in August.<\/i><\/li>\n<li>This week\u2019s data continues to show the gradual improvement in the US housing market:<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ol>\n<li><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Home prices grew by 5.4 percent in the second quarter of 2020 compared to a year ago, despite the impacts of COVID-19. The monthly index for June was up<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.9 percent from May. <\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li>As per S&amp;P Shiller Index, The 20-City Composite posted a 3.5% year-over-year gain, down from 3.6% in the previous month.<\/li>\n<li>New Home Sales: Sales of new single-family houses in July 2020 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 901,000. This is 13.9 percent (\u00b120.0 percent)* above the revised June rate of 791,000.<\/li>\n<li>Pending home sales in July achieved another month of positive contract activity, marking three consecutive months of growth. The Pending Home Sales Index rose 5.9% to 122.1 in July.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0Durable Goods: <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New orders for manufactured durable goods in July increased $23.2 billion or 11.2 percent to $230.7billion. This is the third consecutive months of increase.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-257219\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/factory_28-aug-20.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"430\" \/><br \/>\nSource: Bloomberg Terminal<\/p>\n<p><b>New Zealand: <\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Retail sales values fell a historic 15 percent in the June 2020 quarter during the COVID-19 lockdown, the biggest drop on record in figures going back 25 year<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">s.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-257204\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/perentage-change_28-aug-20.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"297\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/perentage-change_28-aug-20.jpg 930w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/perentage-change_28-aug-20-300x137.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/perentage-change_28-aug-20-768x352.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/perentage-change_28-aug-20-600x275.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Germany:\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Budget Deficit: <\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Germany dealt with its first budget deficit since 2013 and recorded its biggest deficit in a decade. <\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-257189\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/germany_28-aug-20.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"360\" \/><br \/>\nSource: GO MT4<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><b>IFO Surveys: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Current Assessment and Business climate came above expectations:<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Current Assessment above forecasts (86.9) in August: Actual (87.9)<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Business Climate above forecasts (92.2) in August: Actual (92.6)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Expectations below forecasts (98) in August: Actual (97.5)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><b>GDP: <\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The gross domestic product (GDP) fell sharply by 9.7% in the 2nd quarter of 2020 on the 1st quarter of 2020 after adjustment for price, seasonal and calendar variations. According to the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the GDP drop in the 2nd quarter of 2020 was not quite as steep as reported in the<\/span><\/i> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">first release of 30 July 2020 (-10.1%). The slump in the German economy was thus much larger than during the financial and economic crisis of 2008\/2009 (-4.7% in the 1st quarter of 2009) and the sharpest decline since quarterly GDP calculations for Germany started in 1970.<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><b>Oil Market <\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Crude oil prices fell after consecutive sessions of gains. Hurricane Laura and bullish weekly API and EIA reports drove prices higher. Traders are closely monitoring the damage and risk of flooding in the region to determine the impact it may have on the oil and gas industry. As of writing, WTI Crude oil (Nymex) and Brent Crude (ICE) were trading lower around $42.99 and $45.04 respectively.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Gold<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Throughout the first half of the week, gold price remains within a range ahead of the symposium. After a volatile session on Thursday following the much-awaited Fed speech, the XAUUSD pair topped the $1,975 pair before retreating back to the $1,935 level.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-254501\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/gold_28-aug-20.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"380\" \/><br \/>\nSource: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p><strong>By Deepta Bolaky<\/strong><br \/>\n<img style=\"float: left; width: 20px; padding-top: 4px;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/twitter.png\" \/>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DeeptaGOMarkets\">@DeeptaGOMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Key Upcoming Events<\/strong><\/h4>\n<div class=\"gmail_default\">\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey and Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (Germany)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">KOF Leading Indicator (Switzerland)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Consumer Confidence and Business Climate (Eurozone)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Core Personal Consumption Expenditure, Personal Income and Spending (US)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gross Domestic Product (Canada)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Chicago Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index and Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (US)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<table style=\"height: 171px;\" border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"height: 75px;\">\n<td style=\"text-align: center; width: 728px; height: 75px;\" colspan=\"7\"><strong>Monday, 31 August 2020<\/strong><strong style=\"font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit;\">\u00a0<\/strong><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong>Indicative Index Dividends<br \/>\n<em><sup>Dividends are in Points<\/sup><\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>ASX200<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>WS30<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>US500<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 100px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>US2000<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 108px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>NDX100<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>CAC40<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>STOXX50<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\">6.697<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\">17.147<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"69\">0.411<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 100px; height: 24px;\" width=\"69\">0.248<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 108px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\">0.111<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"69\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"69\">0.483<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>ESP35<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>ITA40<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>FTSE100<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 100px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>DAX30<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 108px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>HK50<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>JP225<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 24px;\" width=\"100\"><strong>INDIA50<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 22px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 22px;\" width=\"69\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 22px;\" width=\"100\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 22px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 100px; height: 22px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 108px; height: 22px;\" width=\"69\">3.872<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 22px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 104px; height: 22px;\" width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><a href=\"\/forex-education-courses\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><br \/>\n<img src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Next-Steps-Blog-Bottom-Banner.jpg\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Disclaimer:\u00a0\u00a0The articles are from GO Markets analysts, \u00a0based on their independent analysis or personal experiences. Views or opinions or trading styles expressed are of their own; \u00a0should not be taken as either representative of or shared by GO Markets. \u00a0Advice (if any), \u00a0are of a \u2018general\u2019 nature and not based on your personal objectives, financial situation or needs.\u00a0 You should therefore consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to your objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. \u00a0If the advice relates to acquiring a particular financial product, you should obtain and consider the Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Financial Services Guide (FSG) for that product before making any decisions.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>vBy Deepta Bolaky \u00a0@DeeptaGOMarkets Attention was predominantly on the exclusive central bank conference this week as it fosters open discussions about global policy matters. In a pandemic-induced environment supported by ongoing fiscal and monetary policies, this year\u2019s theme \u201cNavigating the Decade Ahead: Implications for Monetary Policy\u201d for the symposium was very relevant for investors. Stock [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[128],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v16.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Monetary Policy Will Remain Accommodative for Longer - GO Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/weekly-summaries\/monetary-policy-will-remain-accommodative-for-longer\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Monetary Policy Will Remain Accommodative for Longer - GO Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"vBy Deepta Bolaky \u00a0@DeeptaGOMarkets Attention was predominantly on the exclusive central bank conference this week as it fosters open discussions about global policy matters. 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In a pandemic-induced environment supported by ongoing fiscal and monetary policies, this year\u2019s theme \u201cNavigating the Decade Ahead: Implications for Monetary Policy\u201d for the symposium was very relevant for investors. 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