{"id":293282,"date":"2020-05-22T05:09:18","date_gmt":"2020-05-21T19:09:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gomarketingteam.com\/articles\/weekly-summary-an-environment-of-caution\/"},"modified":"2021-02-19T12:13:48","modified_gmt":"2021-02-19T01:13:48","slug":"weekly-summary-an-environment-of-caution","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/weekly-summaries\/weekly-summary-an-environment-of-caution\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Summary: An Environment of Caution"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Deepta Bolaky<\/strong><br \/>\n<img style=\"float: left; width: 20px; padding-top: 4px;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/twitter.png\" \/>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DeeptaGOMarkets\">@DeeptaGOMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Geopolitical Tensions<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the middle of a pandemic, the world\u2019s two most powerful economies are embroiled in a new war of words surrounding the novel coronavirus. After two long years of trade tensions, the coronavirus blame game is creating a more divisive relationship between the two countries, making communications more difficult.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Trump Administration is focusing on China\u2019s lack of transparency and the early inadequate response to the virus, while China is looking at the US&#8217; mismanagement of the virus whereby the death toll is the highest in the world.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-244919\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Deaths-Logs-Scale.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"941\" height=\"869\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Deaths-Logs-Scale.png 941w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Deaths-Logs-Scale-300x277.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Deaths-Logs-Scale-768x709.png 768w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Deaths-Logs-Scale-600x554.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 941px) 100vw, 941px\" \/><br \/>\n<b>Source:abc.net.au<\/b><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h4><b>Reshaping the Political Dynamics<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As the pandemic continues to wreak havoc on the global economy and creates divisive political stances between politicians, policymakers and advisers both internally and across the globe, the political dynamics have now changed:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>Beijing appears to be at the forefront of President Trump\u2019s election campaign. <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The immediate attention, therefore, switches on the tough stance on China rather than the government\u2019s handling of the coronavirus and the fallout of the US economy. The national polls show that Joe Biden has a lead over President Donald Trump as Covid-19 is casting another dark cloud on his troubled presidency.<\/span><\/b><\/li>\n<li><b>China has emerged from the worst of the crisis. <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Faced with an initial crisis of confidence, China\u2019s successful containment of the virus has allowed President Xi to regain the trust of his people while casting aside the strict measures imposed in Wuhan. Amid accusation of an early cover-up and manipulation of data, China wants to be seen as the country that can end it. China has even pledged $2 billion to help the global fight against COVID-19 and that any vaccine discovered by them would be made a \u201cpublic good\u201d.<\/span><\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This week we have also noted the stark warnings from the IMF to world governments against allowing the pandemic to be the reason for protectionism.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Investors are navigating in a tough market where the escalating tensions between the two largest economies could have <\/span><b>more lasting impacts <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">than the negative effect of the coronavirus and the threat of a second wave of outbreak.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h4><b>COVID-19 Updates<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><b>Vaccine\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Moderna Inc, the Massachusetts-based biotechnology firm announced some positive interim results of the Phase 1 Data for its mRNA vaccine which has raised hopes of the Moderna team moving as fast as safely as possible towards a vaccine.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Independent Coronavirus Inquiry<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the World Health Assembly held earlier this month, the WHO passed a resolution to initiate a step-wise process of impartial, independent and comprehensive evaluation. The WHO calls for the review to be seen as experience gained and lessons learnt for better preparedness to ensure that the 2020 coronavirus pandemic is never repeated.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Fears of a Second Outbreak<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Doctors have warned that the new clusters of cases in China in the north-east region appear to carry the virus for a \u201c<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">longer period of time<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201d and patients take \u201c<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">longer to recover<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201d compared to the original outbreak in Wuhan.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Stock Market<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Amid the struggles of reopening economies, geopolitical tensions, and some positive developments of the virus front, global equities swung between gains and losses as uncertainty prevails.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As of writing, major US equity indices were still up for the week driven by the optimism from the reopening of economies and the large fiscal and monetary stimulus packages. Stocks in the European and US markets are flaring better than the Asia\/Pacific region in the last five days.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>World Equity Indices\u00a0<\/b><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-244904\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-World-Equities.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"941\" height=\"604\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-World-Equities.png 941w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-World-Equities-300x193.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-World-Equities-768x493.png 768w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-World-Equities-600x385.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 941px) 100vw, 941px\" \/><br \/>\n<b>Source: Bloomberg\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Hong Kong shares took a beating on Friday and fell the most in almost two months as China moves to pass a national security law in Hong Kong that could disrupt the city\u2019s high degree of autonomy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Investors pulled from Hong Kong stocks as concerns that the controversial law would kickstart another wave of street protests and also would force the US to reassess the special trading privileges of Hong Kong.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-244889\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-Security-Risk.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"941\" height=\"538\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-Security-Risk.png 941w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-Security-Risk-300x172.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-Security-Risk-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-Security-Risk-600x343.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 941px) 100vw, 941px\" \/><br \/>\n<b>Source: Bloomberg\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<h4><b>Forex Market<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Economic reports continue to showcase the drastic impact of the coronavirus on the global economy. As risk sentiment fluctuates, the price movement in the FX space was mostly driven by the virus-related updates and geopolitical tensions.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The greenback eased against major currencies dragged by rising tensions between the US and China. The Antipodeans were among the best-performing currencies as commodities prices firm and both countries appear to have contained the virus better than their peers.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-244874\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-G10-Currencies.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"928\" height=\"465\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-G10-Currencies.png 928w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-G10-Currencies-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-G10-Currencies-768x385.png 768w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-G10-Currencies-600x301.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 928px) 100vw, 928px\" \/><br \/>\n<b>Source: Bloomberg\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<h5><b>Aussie Dollar<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Antipodean rose higher this week despite dismal economic data reiterating the economic pain:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Preliminary Retail turnover<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> falls 17.9 per cent in April: Unlike March figures which reflected the unprecedented demand in the food retailing industry and a mixed impact related to COVID-19 across industries, the figures have shown strong falls in almost every industry with no offsetting rises in the other industries.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Westpac Leading Index:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> The growth has collapsed from -1.06% to -5.16% in just two months. The speed of the collapse in the index is unprecedented as previous lows was a deterioration gathered over a period of six to twelve months.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The AUDUSD pair reclaimed and consolidated around the 0.65 level, a key psychological level to monitor before traders eye the 0.70 level. The Reserve Bank of Australia\u2019s less-dovish stance compared to other central banks is an important factor behind the resilience of the AUD. The RBA has scaled down quantitative easing and appears reluctant to start negative rates.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>AUDUSD (Weekly Chart)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-244859\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"928\" height=\"581\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-AUDUSD.png 928w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-AUDUSD-300x188.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-AUDUSD-768x481.png 768w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/22-May-AUDUSD-600x376.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 928px) 100vw, 928px\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Source: GO MT4<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>Sterling Pound<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Pound struggled to edge higher despite a weaker US dollar. On the economic front, the jobs reports have been mixed:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Claimant count jumped by 856.5k, much higher than the 150k that was forecasted.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ILO Unemployment rate dropped from 4% to 3.9%, which came below the 4.4% expected.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, the main driver was the BoE\u2019s stance on negative interest rates. After growing speculations, the BoE\u2019s governor stated that negative rates were under review which has kept a lid on the recovery of the GBPUSD pair.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Gold\u00a0<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite positive headlines which are driving the markets, the virus concerns, uncertainties and geopolitical tensions are creating an environment of caution. After surging to more than 7-year high, the XAUUSD pair traded in a tight range around $1,745 before retreating to $1,725.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>By Deepta Bolaky<\/strong><br \/>\n<img style=\"float: left; width: 20px; padding-top: 4px;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/twitter.png\" \/>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DeeptaGOMarkets\">@DeeptaGOMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Key upcoming events<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>National Consumer Price Index (Japan)<\/li>\n<li>Public Sector Net Borrowing and Retail Sales (UK)<\/li>\n<li>Markit Manufacturing, Services and Composite PMI (Germany)<\/li>\n<li>Markit Manufacturing, Services and Composite PMI (Germany)<\/li>\n<li>ZEW Survey &#8211; Expectations (Switzerland)<\/li>\n<li>Retail Sales (Canada)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a id=\"dividends\"><\/a><\/p>\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" colspan=\"7\"><strong>Monday, 25 May 2020<\/strong><strong style=\"font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit;\">\u00a0<\/strong><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong>Indicative Index Dividends<br \/>\n<em><sup>Dividends are in Points<\/sup><\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>ASX200<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>WS30<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>US500<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>US2000<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>NDX100<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>CAC40<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>STOXX50<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">0.049<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>ESP35<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>ITA40<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>FTSE100<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>DAX30<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>HK50<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>JP225<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>INDIA50<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">35.051<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"100\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>Disclaimer: Articles and videos from GO Markets analysts are based on their independent analysis. Views expressed are of their own and of a \u2018general\u2019 nature. Advice (if any) are not based on the reader\u2019s personal objectives, financial situation or needs. \u00a0Readers should, therefore, consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to their objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. For more information on trading, check out our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/forex-education-courses\/\">CFD trading courses<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/forex-education-courses\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Next-Steps-Blog-Bottom-Banner.jpg\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Deepta Bolaky \u00a0@DeeptaGOMarkets Geopolitical Tensions In the middle of a pandemic, the world\u2019s two most powerful economies are embroiled in a new war of words surrounding the novel coronavirus. After two long years of trade tensions, the coronavirus blame game is creating a more divisive relationship between the two countries, making communications more difficult.\u00a0 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[128],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v16.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Summary: An Environment of Caution - GO Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/weekly-summaries\/weekly-summary-an-environment-of-caution\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weekly Summary: An Environment of Caution - GO Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Deepta Bolaky \u00a0@DeeptaGOMarkets Geopolitical Tensions In the middle of a pandemic, the world\u2019s two most powerful economies are embroiled in a new war of words surrounding the novel coronavirus. 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