{"id":293167,"date":"2019-11-29T02:45:33","date_gmt":"2019-11-28T15:45:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gomarketingteam.com\/articles\/reserve-bank-australia-quantitative-easing\/"},"modified":"2021-02-19T12:20:38","modified_gmt":"2021-02-19T01:20:38","slug":"reserve-bank-australia-quantitative-easing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/economic-updates\/reserve-bank-australia-quantitative-easing\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA: \u201cQE is not on our Agenda!\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Deepta Bolaky<\/strong><br \/>\n<img style=\"float: left; width: 20px; padding-top: 4px;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/twitter.png\" \/>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DeeptaGOMarkets\">@DeeptaGOMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone\" title=\"reserve bank of australia Quantitative Easing\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Quantitative-Easing-RBA-November-1-1024x433.jpg\" alt=\"reserve bank of australia Quantitative Easing\" width=\"1024\" height=\"433\" \/><\/p>\n<p>This year\u2019s Annual Dinner of the Australian Business Economists was probably the most important event before the year ends. In a year that saw the RBA cutting interest rates three times, the speech around <em>\u201cUnconventional Monetary Policy: Some Lessons From Overseas\u201d<\/em> fueled speculations that the RBA is to tap into the unchartered territory of unconventional monetary policy:<\/p>\n<p><strong>What is Quantitative Easing (QE)?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>QE is a process of creating new money which involves a central bank to buy mortgage-backed securities and Treasuries from its member banks to inject liquidity directly into its economy. There is no actual exchange of funds but the central bank issues a credit to the banks\u2019 reserves as it buys the securities.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, QE increases the amount of money in the system and lowers interest rate. This particular method is usually used when inflation is very low or there is deflation, and conventional monetary policy has become ineffective.<\/p>\n<p><strong>RBA killed off the idea of QE in Australia<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In reviewing the conditions from overseas that pushed major central banks to undertake QE, Governor Lowe outlines several observations why the current state of the economy will not require a QE intervention.<\/p>\n<p>Above all, the Governor highlights that despite the weakness in the economy, the growth prospects, banking system, demographic profile and inflation level have not reached the same levels seen in Europe and Japan that have triggered QE.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Two More Rate Cuts?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The RBA sees QE becoming an option to be considered when the cash rate would be 0.25% and not before that. The Governor acknowledges that there are circumstances that QE will help but investors take note that the RBA is cautious with QE and it would only be used as a last resort if needed.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201c\u2026if \u2013 and it is important to emphasise the word if \u2013 the Reserve Bank were to undertake a program of quantitative easing, we would purchase government bonds, and we would do so in the secondary market.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>The RBA did not close the door to QE completely but has shrugged off the idea in the near term.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Australian Dollar<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The local currency rose higher after the RBA hosed down the prospects of QE anytime soon. However, the momentum was shortlived as market participants now expect two more rate cuts in 2020. During the Asian session on Wednesday, the Aussie dollar underperformed against its counterparts especially after Westpac\u2019s dovish RBA expectations for 2020.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-110270 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/AUDUSD-28-Nov.png\" alt=\"audusd currency trading\" width=\"819\" height=\"628\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/AUDUSD-28-Nov.png 819w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/AUDUSD-28-Nov-300x230.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/AUDUSD-28-Nov-768x589.png 768w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/AUDUSD-28-Nov-600x460.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px\" \/><br \/>\n<strong>Source: Bloomberg Terminal<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Australian Share Market<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A combination of positive trade news and rate cut expectations have triggered a rally in the Australian share market. The ASX200 was up by 6.9% and closed at a record high of 6,851 on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-110269 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/AS51-Index-28-Nov.png\" alt=\"as51 index trading\" width=\"820\" height=\"630\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/AS51-Index-28-Nov.png 820w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/AS51-Index-28-Nov-300x230.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/AS51-Index-28-Nov-768x590.png 768w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/AS51-Index-28-Nov-600x461.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px\" \/><br \/>\n<strong>Source: Bloomberg Terminal<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Thursday, the rally has tamed down as President Trump signed the Human Rights and Democracy Act into law which could potentially strain the trade negotiations. However, the ASX200 held onto gains despite trade risks and weak business investment data to close at another record high at 6,864.<\/p>\n<p>The RBA has toned down the expectations of unconventional monetary policies in the near term but failed to rule out further rate cuts.<\/p>\n<p><strong>About GO Markets<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>GO Markets was established in Australia in 2006 as a provider of online CFD trading services. For over a decade we have positioned ourselves as a firmly trusted and leading global regulated CFD provider. Traders can access more than 250 tradeable CFD instruments including Forex, Shares, Indices and Commodities.<\/p>\n<p>Follow us and keep up to date with the latest market new and analysis.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By Deepta Bolaky<\/strong><br \/>\n<img style=\"float: left; width: 20px; padding-top: 4px;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/twitter.png\" \/>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DeeptaGOMarkets\">@DeeptaGOMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><em>Disclaimer: Articles and videos from GO Markets analysts are based on their independent analysis. Views expressed are of their own and of a \u2018general\u2019 nature. Advice (if any) are not based on the reader\u2019s personal objectives, financial situation or needs. \u00a0Readers should, therefore, consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to their objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. See our introduction to forex for more information, including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/introduction-to-forex\/\">forex trading for beginners<\/a> here.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Deepta Bolaky \u00a0@DeeptaGOMarkets This year\u2019s Annual Dinner of the Australian Business Economists was probably the most important event before the year ends. In a year that saw the RBA cutting interest rates three times, the speech around \u201cUnconventional Monetary Policy: Some Lessons From Overseas\u201d fueled speculations that the RBA is to tap into the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2874,2875],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v16.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>RBA: \u201cQE is not on our Agenda!\u201d - GO Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/economic-updates\/reserve-bank-australia-quantitative-easing\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBA: \u201cQE is not on our Agenda!\u201d - GO Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Deepta Bolaky \u00a0@DeeptaGOMarkets This year\u2019s Annual Dinner of the Australian Business Economists was probably the most important event before the year ends. 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