{"id":293067,"date":"2019-09-11T01:32:58","date_gmt":"2019-09-10T15:32:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gomarketingteam.com\/articles\/ecb-draghis-last-call-for-a-significant-degree-of-monetary-stimulus\/"},"modified":"2021-02-19T12:20:56","modified_gmt":"2021-02-19T01:20:56","slug":"ecb-draghis-last-call-for-a-significant-degree-of-monetary-stimulus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/central-banks\/ecb-draghis-last-call-for-a-significant-degree-of-monetary-stimulus\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB: Draghi&#8217;s Last Call for A Significant Degree of Monetary Stimulus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Deepta Bolaky<\/strong><br \/>\n<img style=\"float: left; width: 20px; padding-top: 4px;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/twitter.png\" \/>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DeeptaGOMarkets\">@DeeptaGOMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Central banks of major economies like the US, UK and Japan turned to quantitative easing (QE) at a time where they were unable to push interest rates any lower. The European Central Bank (ECB) launched its first large scale of asset purchases in 2015 and was among the latest central bank to join the QE bandwagon.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>How QE works<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>The ECB adopted the QE program to address the risks of a prolonged period of low inflation and help the Eurozone to return to the desired inflation level.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-103147\" title=\"german bund yields recovering\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/german-bond-11.0.2019.png\" alt=\"german bund yields recovering\" width=\"820\" height=\"464\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/german-bond-11.0.2019.png 658w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/german-bond-11.0.2019-300x170.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/german-bond-11.0.2019-600x339.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The QE, also known as the Asset Purchase Program (APP), consists of:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Corporate Sector Purchase Programme <strong>(CSPP)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Public Sector Purchase Programme <strong>(PSPP)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Asset-backed Securities Purchase Programme <strong>(ABSPP)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Third Covered Bond Purchase Programme <strong>(CBPP3)<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>On 13 December 2018, the ECB decided to end the net purchases under the APP and announced that it would keep reinvesting cash from maturing bonds for a long time after its first interest rate hike.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Market Expectations<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>As the economic sentiment in the eurozone is worsening rapidly, investors are expecting the central bank to announce a robust stimulus package at its next meeting on Thursday:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>An Interest Rate Cut and Resuming Quantitative Easing.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>However, we saw divergent opinions on whether the central bank should resume asset purchases.<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>An Interest Rate Cut<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>An interest rate policy by itself might not be enough, as cutting rates that are already negative will bring little help to the markets. If the central bank resume bond purchases, it could boost monetary and financing conditions. However, we are seeing divergent opinions on whether the central bank should resume asset purchases.<\/p>\n<p><strong>QE2 \u2013 The Second Round of Quantitative Easing<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In the height of the eurozone crisis from 2011-2014, such policies were probably justified. The current weakness in the euro- area might not be weak enough to warrant such a step, and there is now much skepticism on recommencing such non-standard and controversial monetary policies. The ECB policymakers have also dampened expectations of the resumption of bond purchases lately.<\/p>\n<p>Market participants were initially expecting Mario Draghi to end its term with a significant package of monetary stimulus before Christine Lagarde takes over.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>It was are largely priced-in and now that the expectations eased ahead of the meeting, we are seeing European bond yields bouncing off record lows.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-103147 size-full\" title=\"german bund yields recover ahead of ECB\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/german-bond-11.0.2019.png\" alt=\"german bund yields recover ahead of ECB\" width=\"658\" height=\"372\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/german-bond-11.0.2019.png 658w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/german-bond-11.0.2019-300x170.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/german-bond-11.0.2019-600x339.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 658px) 100vw, 658px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Money markets and the foreign exchange markets are still expecting a traditional monetary policy intervention \u2013 at least a 10-basis point rate cut. The Euro received a boost on Monday on hopes of German fiscal stimulus, though some expectations of monetary easing have limited the gains.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>EURUSD (H4 Chart)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-103146\" title=\"EURUSD candlestick chart\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/eurusd-11.09.2019.png\" alt=\"EURUSD candlestick chart\" width=\"820\" height=\"454\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/eurusd-11.09.2019.png 871w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/eurusd-11.09.2019-300x166.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/eurusd-11.09.2019-768x425.png 768w, https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/eurusd-11.09.2019-600x332.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px\" \/><br \/>\n<strong>Source: GO MT4 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If the central bank failed to satisfy dovish expectations already instilled in the markets, the shared currency may get a boost. The EURUSD pair may be trading sideways around the 1.10 level ahead of the ECB meeting on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>The pair could pick up a strong bid if the central bank falls short of expectations.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>By Deepta Bolaky<\/strong><br \/>\n<img style=\"float: left; width: 20px; padding-top: 4px;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/twitter.png\" \/>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DeeptaGOMarkets\">@DeeptaGOMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><em>Disclaimer: Articles and videos from GO Markets analysts are based on their independent analysis. Views expressed are of their own and of a \u2018general\u2019 nature. Advice (if any) are not based on the reader\u2019s personal objectives, financial situation or needs. \u00a0Readers should, therefore, consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to their objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/forex-education-courses\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Next-Steps-Blog-Bottom-Banner.jpg\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Deepta Bolaky \u00a0@DeeptaGOMarkets Central banks of major economies like the US, UK and Japan turned to quantitative easing (QE) at a time where they were unable to push interest rates any lower. The European Central Bank (ECB) launched its first large scale of asset purchases in 2015 and was among the latest central bank [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2805],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v16.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>ECB: Draghi&#039;s Last Call for A Significant Degree of Monetary Stimulus - GO Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/en\/articles\/central-banks\/ecb-draghis-last-call-for-a-significant-degree-of-monetary-stimulus\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ECB: Draghi&#039;s Last Call for A Significant Degree of Monetary Stimulus - GO Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Deepta Bolaky \u00a0@DeeptaGOMarkets Central banks of major economies like the US, UK and Japan turned to quantitative easing (QE) at a time where they were unable to push interest rates any lower. 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